NFL Week 3 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Props: A Betting Guide
As the NFL season progresses into Week 3, sports betting enthusiasts are buzzing with excitement over the plethora of touchdown scorer props available across major sports betting apps. With hundreds of options to choose from, the challenge lies in identifying the players most likely to find the end zone amidst a landscape of fluctuating scoring trends.
Scoring Trends and Low Over/Unders
At the time of writing, five games in Week 3 have over/unders set below 40 points, indicating a potential struggle for offenses to find their rhythm. This season, teams are averaging just 2.14 touchdowns per game, a decline from 2.38 last year and significantly lower than the 2.88 average in 2020. This dip in scoring has prompted sportsbooks to adjust their lines, making it crucial for bettors to be strategic when selecting anytime touchdown scorers.
With this context in mind, I’ve compiled a list of ten players I’m betting on to score a touchdown in Week 3. Each player has been carefully analyzed based on their recent performances, matchups, and overall offensive schemes.
Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Week 3
1. Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots) – +125 (bet365)
Stevenson has emerged as the focal point of the Patriots’ offense, boasting 46 carries and eight targets through two games. His ability to find the end zone in each of the first two weeks makes him a strong candidate, especially against a Jets defense allowing 4.7 yards per carry. The anticipated low-scoring nature of the game could keep the Patriots competitive, enhancing Stevenson’s chances of scoring.
2. Chris Godwin (Buccaneers) – +185 (DraftKings)
Despite the Broncos’ respectable pass defense stats, Godwin has been a consistent performer, racking up 200 receiving yards and a touchdown in the first two games. With the potential for favorable matchups against Denver’s secondary, Godwin is poised to capitalize on any opportunities, particularly if Baker Mayfield looks his way more frequently.
3. Justin Jefferson (Vikings) – +130 (FanDuel)
Jefferson has been a standout performer, averaging an impressive 24 yards per reception. With the Vikings likely needing to play catch-up against a formidable opponent, expect them to lean heavily on Jefferson, who has already been targeted 13 times. His ability to stretch the field could lead to a touchdown this week.
4. Chris Olave (Saints) – +160 (bet365)
After a quiet Week 1, Olave bounced back with a solid performance in Week 2. With the Eagles’ secondary struggling against the pass, Olave could find himself with ample opportunities to score, especially if the defense focuses on limiting big plays from Rashid Shaheed.
5. Tony Pollard (Titans) – +130 (bet365)
Pollard has solidified his role as the primary back for the Titans, receiving 33 carries compared to Tyjae Spears’ 10. Facing a Packers defense that has allowed 5.1 yards per carry, Pollard is likely to see significant touches, particularly in the red zone.
6. Brock Bowers (Raiders) – +290 (Caesars)
Bowers has quickly become a favorite target for the Raiders, sharing a significant portion of the team’s targets with Davante Adams. With the Panthers struggling defensively, Bowers could find himself in a prime position to score, especially with Andy Dalton under center, potentially keeping the game competitive.
7. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks) – +200 (FanDuel)
With Kenneth Walker sidelined, the Seahawks may shift to a more pass-heavy approach. Smith-Njigba’s favorable matchup against Kader Kohou could lead to significant opportunities, especially after his breakout performance last week.
8. David Montgomery (Lions) – -110 (FanDuel)
Montgomery has been a reliable option for the Lions, scoring in each game this season. Coming off a loss, the Lions are likely to lean on him to make a statement against a Cardinals defense that has struggled against the run.
9. Travis Kelce (Chiefs) – +140 (ESPN Bet)
Despite a slow start to the season, Kelce remains a key target in the Chiefs’ offense. With the team potentially relying more on him in the absence of Isiah Pacheco, Kelce is primed for a breakout game against a Falcons defense that could focus on other emerging threats.
10. James Cook (Bills) – +130 (FanDuel)
Cook has emerged as the lead back for the Bills, handling a significant portion of the rushing attempts. With Buffalo adopting a run-first approach, Cook’s chances of scoring remain high, especially against a Jaguars defense that may struggle to contain him.
Final Thoughts
As we dive into Week 3 of the NFL season, the landscape of scoring remains unpredictable. However, by focusing on players with favorable matchups and recent performance trends, bettors can enhance their chances of cashing in on anytime touchdown scorer props. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the game, these picks offer a solid foundation for your betting strategy this week.