NLCS Game 3 Preview: Dodgers vs. Mets in the Big Apple
As the National League Championship Series (NLCS) heats up, the stage is set for an electrifying Game 3 between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Mets. With the series tied at one game apiece, the Dodgers and Mets will clash at Citi Field in New York City on Wednesday night at 8:08 PM ET. After a commanding 7-3 victory in Game 2, the Mets carry a wave of momentum into this pivotal matchup, while the Dodgers look to regain their footing.
Pitching Matchup: Buehler vs. Severino
The spotlight will be on two pitchers with contrasting trajectories: Walker Buehler for the Dodgers and Luis Severino for the Mets. Buehler, once a dominant force on the mound, has struggled since returning from a hip injury earlier this season. His regular-season numbers tell a troubling story, with a 5.38 ERA over 75.1 innings and a concerning strikeout rate of just 18.6%, significantly below his career average of 26.0%.
In his postseason debut, Buehler failed to record a strikeout over five innings, surrendering six earned runs. His history against the Mets is also a mixed bag; he has allowed a .263 batting average and an OPS of .893 in 80 at-bats. Notably, Pete Alonso has had success against him, hitting four home runs in just 14 at-bats. With the Dodgers needing length from Buehler, the pressure is on him to deliver a solid performance.
On the other side, Luis Severino has faced his own challenges. The Mets’ right-hander has allowed at least three earned runs in five consecutive starts, raising concerns about his consistency. Despite finishing the regular season with a 3.91 ERA, his advanced metrics (FIP and xFIP) suggest he has been fortunate, as both figures are above four. Severino’s performance will be crucial for the Mets, especially as they look to capitalize on their home-field advantage.
Game 3 Predictions and Betting Odds
As the teams prepare for Game 3, the odds reflect a tightly contested matchup. The Dodgers are currently favored at -110 on the moneyline at BetMGM, while the Mets are listed at even money (+100) at ESPN Bet. The run total is set at 7.5, with both the over and under priced at -105 at various sportsbooks.
For those looking to place bets, here are some predictions and picks to consider:
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Over 7.5 Runs (-105): Given the offensive firepower of both teams and the struggles of the starting pitchers, a high-scoring game seems likely. The Dodgers, known for their potent lineup, are expected to bounce back after a quieter performance in Game 2.
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Dodgers Moneyline (-110): Despite Buehler’s recent struggles, the Dodgers’ overall talent and depth give them the edge in this matchup. With the public heavily backing them, the Dodgers are poised to reclaim the series lead.
- Buehler Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+130): Buehler’s alarming strikeout rate this season raises doubts about his ability to fan batters effectively. Given his recent performance, taking the under on his strikeouts could be a smart play.
Betting Trends and Public Sentiment
The betting landscape for Game 3 shows a clear preference for the Dodgers among the public. As of 10 AM ET, 73% of the moneyline handle is backing Los Angeles, with 88% of the public betting on the over. This trend indicates a strong belief in the Dodgers’ ability to bounce back and a high-scoring affair.
Final Thoughts
As the NLCS shifts to New York, all eyes will be on the pitching duel between Buehler and Severino. With both teams eager to seize control of the series, Game 3 promises to be a thrilling encounter filled with drama and excitement. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or a casual observer, this matchup is one you won’t want to miss.