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Houston vs. TCU: Predictions, Props, and Odds for Friday, October 4

Houston Travels to TCU for Friday Night Showdown

As the sun sets on Fort Worth this Friday night, college football fans will be treated to a compelling matchup as the Houston Cougars take on the TCU Horned Frogs. This clash, steeped in history from their days in the Southwest Conference, promises to be an intriguing battle as both teams look to establish their footing in the Big 12.

A Struggling Houston Offense

The Cougars enter this game with a disheartening record of 1-4, and they have been shut out in their last two outings—an alarming trend not seen since 1994. Under the guidance of new head coach Willie Fritz, who previously found success at Georgia Southern and Tulane, Houston has struggled to find its offensive identity. Averaging a mere 10.4 points per game, they currently hold the title of the worst offensive team in the nation.

In their most recent game, Houston experimented with two quarterbacks: Donovan Smith, who managed just 71 passing yards and an interception, and Zeon Chriss, who threw for a mere four yards before also throwing a pick. This lack of offensive production has left fans and analysts alike questioning whether the Cougars can muster any points against a formidable TCU defense.

TCU’s High-Flying Offense

On the other side of the field, the TCU Horned Frogs are looking to capitalize on Houston’s struggles. With a record of 3-2, TCU has showcased a dynamic offense led by sophomore quarterback Josh Hoover. Hoover has thrown for 1,774 yards this season, ranking third in the nation, and has connected for 14 touchdowns. His favorite target, LSU transfer Jack Bech, is second in the nation in receiving yards with 647, making the Horned Frogs a constant threat to score.

Despite their offensive prowess, TCU has faced challenges against the spread, holding a 1-4 record in that department. However, their recent victory over Kansas has reignited hope among fans that they can find consistency as they head into this matchup.

Betting Odds and Predictions

As the game approaches, the betting lines reflect the growing confidence in TCU. The Horned Frogs are currently favored by 16.5 points, a slight increase from the opening line of 15.5. The total points for the game have seen a minor decrease, now set at 51, indicating skepticism about Houston’s ability to contribute to the scoreboard.

Prediction and Picks:

  • TCU -16.5 (-112) at SGP
  • Under 51 (-110) at SGP

Given Houston’s offensive woes and TCU’s explosive capabilities, many analysts believe the Horned Frogs will cover the spread comfortably. The short week for Houston, combined with their recent struggles, suggests that TCU could take control early and maintain a significant lead throughout the game.

Game Props to Consider

When it comes to game props, there are several intriguing options for bettors. One standout prop is TCU -9.5 at halftime (-110 at BetMGM). Given TCU’s ability to score quickly and Houston’s offensive challenges, this bet seems promising.

Additionally, consider the prop for Houston under 9.5 points for the game at +425 at Bet365. With the Cougars struggling to find the end zone, this bet could yield a substantial return if they continue their trend of offensive futility.

Historical Context

This matchup carries historical significance, as the two teams have faced off numerous times since their days in the Southwest Conference. The series is currently tied at 13 wins apiece, but TCU has dominated in recent years, winning the last nine meetings. The last time Houston emerged victorious was back in 1992, adding an extra layer of motivation for the Cougars as they seek to break the streak.

As the Cougars prepare to face the Horned Frogs, fans and analysts alike will be watching closely to see if Houston can find a spark on offense or if TCU will continue its dominance in this storied rivalry.

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