A Shift in the Sixth Man of the Year Landscape
The NBA Sixth Man of the Year award has long been synonymous with high-scoring guards who can come off the bench and light up the scoreboard. Historically, players like Jamal Crawford and Lou Williams dominated this category, with Crawford winning the award three times and Williams taking it home twice. However, recent seasons have shown a notable shift in the criteria for this prestigious accolade, as evidenced by the winners and the evolving nature of the game itself.
In the 2022-23 season, Malcolm Brogdon clinched the award despite finishing fifth in bench scoring, while Naz Reid, the reigning Sixth Man of the Year, was only 12th in scoring among players who came off the bench at least 30 times. Reid also made history as one of the few centers to win the award, joining the ranks of Montrezl Harrell and Lamar Odom as non-guards to receive this honor in the past two decades. This evolution reflects a broader understanding of the value that players can bring to their teams beyond just scoring.
The Favorites for 2024-25
As we look ahead to the 2024-25 season, the landscape of potential Sixth Man of the Year candidates is as diverse as ever. Currently, the favorites include Malik Monk (+575), Naz Reid (+700), and Grayson Allen (+1000). While these players have their merits, the competition is fierce, and their paths to the award are fraught with challenges.
Malik Monk had a breakout season last year, showcasing his scoring ability. However, with DeMar DeRozan joining the Sacramento Kings, Monk may find his opportunities limited. He finished second in the voting last season, but with fewer shots available, his chances of winning the award again may be slim.
Naz Reid, the defending champion, faces a similar dilemma. Much of his success last season stemmed from his time as a starter, and with the Timberwolves’ roster changes, he may not see the same level of production. The addition of rookies like Rob Dillingham and Terrence Shannon could further complicate his role, making it difficult for him to replicate his previous success.
Grayson Allen presents an intriguing option, especially given the injury history of stars like Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal on the Phoenix Suns. Allen’s shooting prowess, particularly from beyond the arc, could make him a valuable asset. However, his lack of playmaking ability raises questions about his overall impact on the game.
The Middle of the Pack
Moving beyond the favorites, several candidates with odds between +1000 and +2500 warrant attention. Norman Powell (+1600) stands out as a potential dark horse. With the Los Angeles Clippers adding defensive specialists, Powell could emerge as a primary offensive option. His consistent performance over the past two seasons, where he finished fourth in the voting, suggests he could capitalize on increased opportunities this year.
Josh Hart (+1600) is another compelling candidate. Known for his versatility and relentless work ethic, Hart’s role in the New York Knicks’ rotation could see him accumulate significant minutes, especially with the team’s current center situation. If he continues to impress under coach Tom Thibodeau, he could become a favorite among voters.
Dante DiVincenzo (+1400) is an interesting prospect, but he may struggle to find enough opportunities in a crowded Knicks lineup. His previous season’s numbers don’t inspire confidence, making him a riskier bet compared to Hart.
C.J. McCollum (+1400) and Trey Murphy (+4000) could also be worth considering, as one of them is likely to emerge as a key contributor off the bench for the New Orleans Pelicans. Their combined potential makes them an appealing duo for those looking to hedge their bets.
The Long Shots
For those willing to take a gamble, several long-shot candidates could surprise. Cole Anthony (+5000) has shown flashes of brilliance throughout his career, averaging between 17.1 and 18.6 points per 36 minutes. If he can find consistency and the Orlando Magic can make a playoff push, he could become a sleeper candidate.
Julian Strawther (+15000) is a more speculative pick, but with the Denver Nuggets needing to increase their three-point volume, he could be a key player off the bench. His shooting ability could make him a valuable asset, although his playing time remains uncertain.
Bruce Brown (+15000) is another intriguing option, especially if he finds himself in a more favorable situation later in the season. His performance in Denver showcased his potential, and a mid-season trade could elevate his candidacy.
Lastly, Jaden Hardy (+8000) is a name to watch. The Dallas Mavericks have a history of Sixth Man candidates, and if Hardy can carve out a significant role, he could emerge as a strong contender. His scoring ability and potential for increased minutes make him a player to keep an eye on.
Conclusion
The Sixth Man of the Year award is evolving, and the candidates for the 2024-25 season reflect this change. With a broader range of players now in contention, the award is no longer just about scoring; it’s about impact, versatility, and the ability to contribute to winning basketball. As the season unfolds, it will be fascinating to see who rises to the occasion and captures the coveted title.